Jim Dahl's College Hockey Ranked

First look at 2018 tournament likelihoods

Written on January 17, 2018

This week’s PWR by wins forecast is now available. See last week’s post, First 2018 PWR forecasts available, for an explanation of the forecasts and how to interpret the results. For those who would rather just know the bottom line, this post will go into deeper detail interpreting the forecast table. Is anyone safe yet? […]

First 2018 PWR forecasts available

Written on January 12, 2018

With the regular season about half over, it’s a good time to start paying attention to PWR. Remember that PWR is a ranking whose calculation mimics the NCAA’s tournament selection process, so the final PWR ranking perfectly predicts the teams that will be selected for the NCAA tournament. The 2014 article, When to start looking […]

Saturday morning possibilities

Written on March 18, 2017

The NCAA tournament field is almost set and the scenarios for which teams can still make it are among the most straightforward in recent memory. In for sure The following 12 teams are in for sure: Denver Minnesota Duluth Harvard Western Michigan Minnesota Boston University Union Mass.-Lowell Cornell Notre Dame North Dakota Penn State In […]

How Cornell, Notre Dame, North Dakota, or Providence could miss the NCAAs

Written on March 16, 2017 | 2 comments

For each of Cornell, Notre Dame, North Dakota, and Providence, missing the tournament requires a poor PWR ranking because of the success of the others. All but idle Providence control their own fates, being able to guarantee an at-large bid with a single semi-final win. With no additional wins, each is likely to land somewhere […]

How Harvard can reach #1 overall

Written on March 16, 2017

You might want to follow along with a sample scenario – https://goo.gl/Zc38am (CHN You are the Committee) Harvard getting to #1 overall is possible, though not very likely. The Crimson only advance to #1 in about 2% of the scenarios in which they win the ECAC tournament. Poor performance by Minnesota-Duluth and Denver is obviously […]

PWR Top 20

1 Notre Dame
2 Clarkson
3 St Cloud St
4 Cornell
5 Ohio State
6 Denver
7 Western Michigan
8 MSU-Mankato
9 Providence
10 North Dakota
11 Nebraska-Omaha
12 Penn State
13 Northeastern
14 Minnesota-Duluth
15 Minnesota
16 Michigan
17 Bowling Green
18 Miami
19 Boston College
20 Wisconsin
Full PWR Rankings