Jim Dahl's College Hockey Ranked

Saturday morning possibilities

Written on March 18, 2017

The NCAA tournament field is almost set and the scenarios for which teams can still make it are among the most straightforward in recent memory. In for sure The following 12 teams are in for sure: Denver Minnesota Duluth Harvard Western Michigan Minnesota Boston University Union Mass.-Lowell Cornell Notre Dame North Dakota Penn State In […]

How Cornell, Notre Dame, North Dakota, or Providence could miss the NCAAs

Written on March 16, 2017 | 2 comments

For each of Cornell, Notre Dame, North Dakota, and Providence, missing the tournament requires a poor PWR ranking because of the success of the others. All but idle Providence control their own fates, being able to guarantee an at-large bid with a single semi-final win. With no additional wins, each is likely to land somewhere […]

How Harvard can reach #1 overall

Written on March 16, 2017

You might want to follow along with a sample scenario – https://goo.gl/Zc38am (CHN You are the Committee) Harvard getting to #1 overall is possible, though not very likely. The Crimson only advance to #1 in about 2% of the scenarios in which they win the ECAC tournament. Poor performance by Minnesota-Duluth and Denver is obviously […]

How BC can lose and still make the NCAA tournament

Written on March 16, 2017

You might want to follow along on a sample scenario – https://goo.gl/KBMK04 (CHN You Are The Committee) With a single loss the weekend, the highest Boston College can climb in the PWR is #15 (see College Hockey Tournament Possibilities). That happens in about 10% of the scenarios in which BC loses its semifinal. However, even […]

NCAA tournament conference participation possibilities (2017 edition)

Written on March 14, 2017

Conference representation in NCAA tournament by share of possible scenarios 1 2 3 4 5 Atlantic Hockey 91% 9% Big Ten 3% 46% 50% ECAC 1% 77% 23% Hockey East 1% 73% 26% NCHC 4% 96% WCHA 100% Atlantic Hockey Only the auto-qualifying winner of the conference tournament is in for sure, from #15 Air […]

PWR Top 20

2 Nebraska-Omaha
3 Canisius
4 Northern Michigan
5 Merrimack
6 Ferris State
7 Sacred Heart
8 Denver
9 Colgate
10 Niagara
11 Dartmouth
12 Michigan Tech
13 Penn State
14 Mercyhurst
15 Western Michigan
16 Mass.-Lowell
17 Vermont
18 Boston University
19 Minnesota
20 Rensselaer
Full PWR Rankings