After the holiday break is generally considered a good time to start paying attention to the PairWise Ranking (PWR). Remember that PWR is a ranking whose calculation mimics the NCAA’s tournament selection process, so the final PWR ranking perfectly predicts the teams that will be selected for the NCAA tournament. The 2014 article, When to […]
Everyone’s favorite college hockey ranking scheme, KRACH, is also a favorite way to predict the odds of each team winning a game. As in past years, I used KRACH to predict each tournament team’s odds of winning it’s first round game, advancing out of the regional, winning a semifinal game, and winning the national championship. […]
I’ve crunched through the remaining 192 possible outcomes, and here’s what I think happens tomorrow for each team. In for sure St Cloud St Notre Dame Cornell Ohio State Denver Mankato Northeastern Providence Michigan Clarkson Penn State Can still get autobid by winning conference Atlantic Hockey – Robert Morris or Air Force ECAC – Princeton […]
Of the remaining possible scenarios that could come out of this weekend’s conference tournaments, here’s a breakdown of the share of scenarios of how many teams each conference sends: 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Atlantic Hockey 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Big 10 0% 0% 0% 2% 23% 75% 0% ECAC […]
An example of Boston University making the NCAA tournament at-large (that is, without winning the Hockey East tournament) follows: https://goo.gl/UJMXKt Generalizing that individual scenario, two things need to happen for Boston University to make the NCAAs at-large: Game outcomes need to be such that BU gets pushed up to #14 PWR, despite a loss Only […]
| 1 | St Cloud St |
| 2 | Massachusetts |
| 3 | Denver |
| 4 | Minnesota-Duluth |
| 5 | Ohio State |
| 6 | Quinnipiac |
| 7 | Northeastern |
| 8 | MSU-Mankato |
| 9 | Cornell |
| 10 | Clarkson |
| 11 | Arizona State |
| 12 | Bowling Green |
| 13 | Notre Dame |
| 14 | Western Michigan |
| 15 | Union |
| 16 | Providence |
| 17 | Harvard |
| 18 | Penn State |
| 19 | Mass.-Lowell |
| 20 | Lake Superior |
