Jim Dahl's College Hockey Ranked

First 2019 PWR forecast available (and, what is it?)

Written on January 17, 2019

After the holiday break is generally considered a good time to start paying attention to the PairWise Ranking (PWR). Remember that PWR is a ranking whose calculation mimics the NCAA’s tournament selection process, so the final PWR ranking perfectly predicts the teams that will be selected for the NCAA tournament. The 2014 article, When to […]

KRACH predicts the NCAA tournament

Written on March 21, 2018

Everyone’s favorite college hockey ranking scheme, KRACH, is also a favorite way to predict the odds of each team winning a game. As in past years, I used KRACH to predict each tournament team’s odds of winning it’s first round game, advancing out of the regional, winning a semifinal game, and winning the national championship. […]

Who can make the NCAAs – Saturday morning outlook

Written on March 17, 2018

I’ve crunched through the remaining 192 possible outcomes, and here’s what I think happens tomorrow for each team. In for sure St Cloud St Notre Dame Cornell Ohio State Denver Mankato Northeastern Providence Michigan Clarkson Penn State Can still get autobid by winning conference Atlantic Hockey – Robert Morris or Air Force ECAC – Princeton […]

How many teams will each conference send to the NCAAs?

Written on March 14, 2018

Of the remaining possible scenarios that could come out of this weekend’s conference tournaments, here’s a breakdown of the share of scenarios of how many teams each conference sends: 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Atlantic Hockey 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Big 10 0% 0% 0% 2% 23% 75% 0% ECAC […]

How Boston University can make the NCAAs without winning Hockey East

Written on March 13, 2018

An example of Boston University making the NCAA tournament at-large (that is, without winning the Hockey East tournament) follows: https://goo.gl/UJMXKt Generalizing that individual scenario, two things need to happen for Boston University to make the NCAAs at-large: Game outcomes need to be such that BU gets pushed up to #14 PWR, despite a loss Only […]

PWR Top 20

1 St Cloud St
2 Massachusetts
3 Denver
4 Minnesota-Duluth
5 Ohio State
6 Quinnipiac
7 Northeastern
8 MSU-Mankato
9 Cornell
10 Clarkson
11 Arizona State
12 Bowling Green
13 Notre Dame
14 Western Michigan
15 Union
16 Providence
17 Harvard
18 Penn State
19 Mass.-Lowell
20 Lake Superior
Full PWR Rankings